We find that methane emissions from energy decline rapidly, by around 80% to 75% in 2030 relative to 2005 under peak warming of 1.6° and 1.8°C. In contrast, Australia’s methane emissions from AFOLU (agriculture, forestry and other land use) fall far more slowly, by around 25% by 2030 relative to 2005 under peak warming of either 1.6° or 1.8°C, and by around 30% by 2035.
The analysis highlights:
1) A rationale for targets and additional policies specific to limiting methane emissions from fossil fuel industries, within broader whole of economy GHG targets.
2) That separate targets for methane from energy and AFOLU may be important to drive the emissions reductions required from energy, and recognise the more limited viable abatement opportunities currently available in AFOLU.
